Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction & odds
Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship (round 15) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Portsmouth are #339 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Stoke City are #448 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 109 places - in Portsmouth's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Portsmouth the favourites at 47%, with a draw at 27% and Stoke City at 26%.
Rating: 1145
Chance to win: 47%
Last 5: WDWWL
Rating: 1103
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: DWLWW
Who will win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Portsmouth are #339 and Stoke City #448 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Portsmouth (47%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Stoke City v Portsmouth | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Portsmouth v Stoke City | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-22 | Portsmouth v Stoke City | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-02 | Stoke City v Portsmouth | 6-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20 | #226 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20 | #331 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 20 | #448 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 19 | #320 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 18 | #360 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 18 | #339 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 15 | #284 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 15 | #511 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |