Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction & odds
Portsmouth host Swansea in the Championship (round 14) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Portsmouth are #339 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Swansea are #238 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 101 places - in Swansea's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Portsmouth v Swansea as close to a coin flip: Portsmouth 35%, a draw 30%, Swansea 35%.
Rating: 1145
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: WDWWL
Rating: 1205
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LLWWW
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Portsmouth are #339 and Swansea #238 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Swansea (35%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Portsmouth v Swansea | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-09 | Swansea v Portsmouth | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-01 | Portsmouth v Swansea | 4-0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Swansea v Portsmouth | 2-2 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 25 | #167 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 23 | #238 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 22 | #44 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 18 | #360 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 18 | #339 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 15 | #284 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |