PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction & odds
PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie (round 11) on Saturday 31 October 2026. PSV Eindhoven are #39 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Willem II are #761 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 722 places - in PSV Eindhoven's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourites at 86%, with a draw at 10% and Willem II at 4%.
Rating: 1490
Chance to win: 86%
Last 5: DWLLW
Rating: 1018
Chance to win: 4%
Last 5: WLLLL
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
PSV Eindhoven are #39 and Willem II #761 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is PSV Eindhoven (86%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | PSV Eindhoven v Willem II | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Willem II v PSV Eindhoven | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-01 | PSV Eindhoven v Willem II | 4-2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Willem II v PSV Eindhoven | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-09 | Willem II v PSV Eindhoven | 0-2 |
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 24 | #57 |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 21 | #61 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 20 | #39 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 20 | #75 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | 6 | #463 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 2 | #761 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |