Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk: result and our prediction
Puszcza Niepołomice host Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga (round 12) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Puszcza Niepołomice are #2,240 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Lechia Gdansk are #945 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,295 places - in Lechia Gdansk's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and Puszcza Niepołomice at 20%.
Rating: 788
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: LWLWL
Rating: 978
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: LLWWW
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk?
Puszcza Niepołomice are #2240 and Lechia Gdansk #945 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lechia Gdansk (56%). More from the I Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Lechia Gdansk v Puszcza Niepołomice | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-16 | Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk | 4-1 |
| 2021-02-09 | Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia Gdansk | 3-1 |
Puszcza Niepołomice have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
I Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 12 | 21 | #1897 |
| 2 | Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 21 | #1614 |
| 3 | Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 21 | #1501 |
| 5 | Nieciecza | 12 | 20 | #962 |
| 6 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 19 | #945 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 18 | #1887 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 13 | #2466 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 12 | 12 | #2240 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 12 | 12 | #2107 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 |  Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 |  ŁKS Łódź | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 |  Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Warta Poznań | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 |  Stal Rzeszów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Pogoń Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Podbeskidzie | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Chrobry Głogów | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |  Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 |  Puszcza Niepołomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |