Qabala vs Qarabag prediction & odds
Qabala host Qarabag in the Premyer Liqa (round 10) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Qabala are #1,616 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Qarabag are #193 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,423 places - in Qarabag's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Qarabag the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and Qabala at 11%.
Rating: 864
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: WWLLL
Rating: 1240
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: DDWWD
Who will win Qabala vs Qarabag?
Qabala are #1616 and Qarabag #193 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Qarabag (71%). More from the Premyer Liqa.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Qabala v Qarabag | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Qabala v Qarabag | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Qarabag v Qabala | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Qabala v Qarabag | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Qarabag v Qabala | 2-2 |
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 9 | 20 | #136 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 18 | #349 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 18 | #193 |
| 4 | Turan | 10 | 18 | #561 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 15 | #546 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 14 | #1465 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 13 | #1044 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 10 | #1333 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 8 | #1299 |
| 10 | Qabala | 9 | 7 | #1616 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 9 | 3 | #2285 |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 2 | #1410 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
