Our model makes QPR the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Derby at 29%.
QPR are #375 and Derby #410 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is QPR (43%). More from the Championship.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | QPR v Derby | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Derby v QPR | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-14 | QPR v Derby | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Derby v QPR | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-18 | QPR v Derby | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 9 | 20 | #195 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 18 | #173 |
| 3 | West Ham | 9 | 16 | #49 |
| 5 | Wolves | 8 | 14 | #96 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 14 | #375 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 14 | #232 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 7 | #207 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 6 | #410 |
| 24 | Preston | 9 | 4 | #797 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.