RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction & odds
RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. RB Leipzig are #35 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Manchester City are #3 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Manchester City the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 21% and RB Leipzig at 19%.
Rating: 1500
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: WWLLW
Rating: 1783
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: DLWWL
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
RB Leipzig are #35 and Manchester City #3 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Manchester City (60%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-28 | Manchester City v RB Leipzig | 3-2 |
| 2023-10-04 | RB Leipzig v Manchester City | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-14 | Manchester City v RB Leipzig | 7-0 |
| 2023-02-22 | RB Leipzig v Manchester City | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-07 | RB Leipzig v Manchester City | 2-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |