Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés: result and our prediction
Real Avilés host UD Logroñés in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 9) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Real Avilés are #1,259 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; UD Logroñés are #614 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 645 places - in UD Logroñés's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Real Avilés v UD Logroñés as close to a coin flip: Real Avilés 30%, a draw 29%, UD Logroñés 41%.
Rating: 918
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: LWWLD
Rating: 1060
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: WDLWW
Who will win Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
Real Avilés are #1259 and UD Logroñés #614 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is UD Logroñés (41%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Real Avilés v UD Logroñés | 1-3 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 22 | #702 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 20 | #614 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 16 | #957 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 12 | #819 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 11 | #1259 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 10 | #863 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |