Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction & odds
Real Sociedad host Lyon in the UEFA Europa League (round 4) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Real Sociedad are #46 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Lyon are #47 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Real Sociedad the favourites at 47%, with a draw at 23% and Lyon at 29%.
Rating: 1462
Chance to win: 47%
Last 5: WWWDW
Rating: 1459
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: LLWWL
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Real Sociedad are #46 and Lyon #47 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Real Sociedad (47%). More from the La Liga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |