Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction & odds
Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (round 12) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Real Sociedad are #46 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Rayo Vallecano are #64 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Real Sociedad the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Rayo Vallecano at 25%.
Rating: 1462
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: WWWDW
Rating: 1402
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: WLDDW
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Sociedad are #46 and Rayo Vallecano #64 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Real Sociedad (49%). More from the La Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad | 3-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-16 | Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano | 1-2 |
La Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 27 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 25 | #12 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 24 | #6 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 20 | #28 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19 | #46 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 17 | #72 |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 10 | #77 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 9 | #64 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 9 | #132 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |