Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction & odds
Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League (round 3) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Riga are #272 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; FK Jablonec are #315 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Riga the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 23% and FK Jablonec at 27%.
Rating: 1186
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: WDWDW
Rating: 1157
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WDLLW
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Riga are #272 and FK Jablonec #315 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Riga (50%). More from the Virsliga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |