Our model makes Riga the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 22% and Kairat Almaty at 22%.
Riga are #270 and Kairat Almaty #461 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Riga (56%). More from the Virsliga.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.