Riga vs Rīgas FS prediction & odds
Riga host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga (round 36) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Riga are #272 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Rīgas FS are #443 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 171 places - in Riga's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Riga the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 26% and Rīgas FS at 23%.
Rating: 1186
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: WDWDW
Rating: 1104
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: WWWWD
Who will win Riga vs Rīgas FS?
Riga are #272 and Rīgas FS #443 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Riga (52%). More from the Virsliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Rīgas FS v Riga | 2-3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Rīgas FS v Riga | 3-3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Riga v Rīgas FS | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Rīgas FS v Riga | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-07 | Riga v Rīgas FS | 3-4 |
Virsliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 34 | 86 | #443 |
| 2 | Riga | 34 | 82 | #272 |
| 3 | Auda | 34 | 67 | #994 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 48 | #1793 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 |  Riga | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 62 | 82 |
| 3 |  Auda | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 38 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -34 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -51 | 18 |