Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku prediction & odds
Şamaxı FK host Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa (round 10) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Şamaxı FK are #1,044 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Neftchi Baku are #349 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 695 places - in Neftchi Baku's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Neftchi Baku the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Şamaxı FK at 24%.
Rating: 954
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WLWDW
Rating: 1143
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: DDDWW
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Şamaxı FK are #1044 and Neftchi Baku #349 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Neftchi Baku (50%). More from the Premyer Liqa.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Neftchi Baku v Şamaxı FK | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Şamaxı FK v Neftchi Baku | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Neftchi Baku v Şamaxı FK | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-07 | Şamaxı FK v Neftchi Baku | 0-2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Neftchi Baku v Şamaxı FK | 1-0 |
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 9 | 20 | #136 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 18 | #349 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 18 | #193 |
| 4 | Turan | 10 | 18 | #561 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 15 | #546 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 14 | #1465 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 13 | #1044 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 10 | #1333 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 8 | #1299 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
