San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: result and our prediction
San Diego host Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Sunday 25 October 2026. San Diego are #941 in our world ranking and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Seattle Sounders are #705 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 236 places - in Seattle Sounders's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees San Diego v Seattle Sounders as close to a coin flip: San Diego 36%, a draw 30%, Seattle Sounders 34%.
Rating: 980
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: LDDDL
Rating: 1032
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: LDDLW
Who will win San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?
San Diego are #941 and Seattle Sounders #705 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is San Diego (36%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | San Diego v Seattle Sounders | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Seattle Sounders v San Diego | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-29 | Seattle Sounders v San Diego | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | San Diego v Seattle Sounders | 3-0 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #264 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #501 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 43 | #930 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 43 | #705 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 43 | #703 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #899 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #941 |
| 26 | Austin | 32 | 34 | #993 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 47 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -42 | 22 |