Our model makes Santos the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Bahia at 27%.
Santos are #221 and Bahia #264 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Santos (45%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Bahia v Santos | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Bahia v Santos | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Santos v Bahia | 2-2 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 51 | #222 |
| 5 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 50 | #192 |
| 6 | Bahia | 30 | 49 | #264 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 48 | #214 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 42 | #323 |
| 9 | Santos | 30 | 42 | #221 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 | #316 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 39 | #392 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.