Santos vs Palmeiras: result and our prediction
Santos host Palmeiras in the Serie A (round 33) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Santos are #213 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5; Palmeiras are #111 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 102 places - in Palmeiras's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Santos v Palmeiras as close to a coin flip: Santos 30%, a draw 28%, Palmeiras 42%.
Rating: 1221
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: DDWLD
Rating: 1333
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: DWLWW
Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?
Santos are #213 and Palmeiras #111 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Palmeiras (42%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Santos v Palmeiras | 0-0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Santos v Palmeiras | 0-0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Palmeiras v Santos | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Palmeiras v Santos | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Palmeiras v Santos | 1-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #111 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #182 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #316 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #281 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 50 | #271 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #213 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 | #349 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 43 | #376 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |