Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction & odds
Sao Paulo host Corinthians in the Serie A (round 34) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Sao Paulo are #371 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Corinthians are #453 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Sao Paulo the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 27% and Corinthians at 27%.
Rating: 1134
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LDWWL
Rating: 1103
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WLDLL
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
Sao Paulo are #371 and Corinthians #453 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sao Paulo (45%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Corinthians v Sao Paulo | 3-2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Corinthians v Sao Paulo | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Corinthians v Sao Paulo | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Sao Paulo v Corinthians | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-26 | Sao Paulo v Corinthians | 3-1 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #212 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 | #345 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 43 | #371 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 39 | #524 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #691 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #520 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #405 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37 | #373 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36 | #453 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 35 | #457 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 29 | #740 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |