Our model sees Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama as close to a coin flip: Sao Paulo 33%, a draw 29%, Vasco DA Gama 38%.
Sao Paulo are #412 and Vasco DA Gama #249 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Vasco DA Gama (38%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-13 | Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama | 1-3 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahia | 29 | 46 | #305 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 42 | #254 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 39 | #412 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 29 | 38 | #704 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 | #438 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 36 | #580 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 29 | 35 | #481 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 35 | #249 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 33 | #384 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 32 | #507 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.