Our model makes Sheffield Utd the favourites at 47%, with a draw at 27% and Derby at 26%.
Sheffield Utd are #360 and Derby #493 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sheffield Utd (47%). More from the Championship.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Derby v Sheffield Utd | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Sheffield Utd v Derby | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-01 | Derby v Sheffield Utd | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Sheffield Utd v Derby | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Derby v Sheffield Utd | 2-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 14 | #568 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 13 | #607 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 12 | #360 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 11 | #430 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 11 | #290 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 11 | #327 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 10 | #585 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 9 | #295 |
| 21 | Burnley | 11 | 8 | #233 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 8 | #945 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 6 | #493 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 4 | #850 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.