Shkendija vs Vardar Skopje: result and our prediction
Shkendija host Vardar Skopje in the First League (round 11) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Shkendija are #622 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Vardar Skopje are #786 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 164 places - in Shkendija's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Shkendija the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Vardar Skopje at 28%.
Rating: 1058
Chance to win: 44%
Last 5: DWDWD
Rating: 1014
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: LDWWW
Who will win Shkendija vs Vardar Skopje?
Shkendija are #622 and Vardar Skopje #786 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Shkendija (44%). More from the First League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Shkendija v Vardar Skopje | 0-0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Vardar Skopje v Shkendija | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Vardar Skopje v Shkendija | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Vardar Skopje v Shkendija | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Shkendija v Vardar Skopje | 0-1 |
First League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 11 | 24 | #622 |
| 2 | Struga | 11 | 23 | #973 |
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 11 | 21 | #786 |
| 4 | Tikveš | 11 | 20 | #1042 |
| 5 | Sileks | 11 | 16 | #1299 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shkendija | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 |  Struga | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 23 |
| 3 |  Vardar Skopje | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Tikveš | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 |  Sileks | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 |  Shkëndija Haraçinë | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bregalnica Štip | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Aresimi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 10 |
| 9 |  Bashkimi Kumanovo | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 7 |
| 10 |  Skopje | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |