Our model makes Simba the favourites at 78%, with a draw at 14% and Mbeya City at 8%.
Simba are #228 and Mbeya City #1554 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Simba (78%). More from the Ligi kuu Bara.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Mbeya City v Simba | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Simba v Mbeya City | 3-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 24 | #228 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 18 | #248 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 17 | #456 |
| 4 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 14 | #1239 |
| 5 | Mashujaa | 8 | 12 | #1406 |
| 6 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 11 | #1009 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 10 | #1086 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 10 | #1554 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 10 | #1199 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 10 | #1231 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.