Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction & odds
Sparta Praha host Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League (round 4) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Sparta Praha are #200 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Bournemouth are #8 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 192 places - in Bournemouth's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bournemouth the favourites at 74%, with a draw at 16% and Sparta Praha at 10%.
Rating: 1231
Chance to win: 10%
Last 5: LWLDD
Rating: 1667
Chance to win: 74%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Sparta Praha are #200 and Bournemouth #8 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bournemouth (74%). More from the Czech Liga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |