Our model makes Ajax the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 24% and Sparta Rotterdam at 19%.
Sparta Rotterdam are #395 and Ajax #84 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Ajax (57%). More from the Eredivisie.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-27 | Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax | 2-2 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 23 | #60 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 20 | #86 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 19 | #48 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 18 | #84 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 17 | #110 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 10 | #202 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 9 | #395 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | 9 | #574 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.