First League · Regular Season - 13
Spartak Varna#1,543 in the world
12:00 UTC
Sun 08 Nov
Arda Kardzhali#709 in the world

Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & odds

Spartak Varna host Arda Kardzhali in the First League (round 13) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Spartak Varna are #1,543 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Arda Kardzhali are #709 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 834 places - in Arda Kardzhali's favour.

Our prediction

Our model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Spartak Varna at 27%.

Spartak Varna 27% Draw 27%Arda Kardzhali 46%
Spartak Varna
World rank: #1543
Rating: 872
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: LLWWL
Arda Kardzhali
World rank: #709
Rating: 1028
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: DWLDL

Who will win Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

Spartak Varna are #1543 and Arda Kardzhali #709 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Arda Kardzhali (46%). More from the First League.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2026-02-27Arda Kardzhali v Spartak Varna1-0
2025-09-13Spartak Varna v Arda Kardzhali3-0
2025-02-07Arda Kardzhali v Spartak Varna2-2
2024-08-16Spartak Varna v Arda Kardzhali1-0
2023-03-06Arda Kardzhali v Spartak Varna2-0

First League table

#ClubPPtsWorld
4Ludogorets1126#289
5Botev Plovdiv1322#725
6Arda Kardzhali1218#709
7Spartak Varna1313#1543
8Slavia Sofia1212#1298
9Dunav Ruse1211#1674

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.