Spezia vs Livorno: result and our prediction
Spezia host Livorno in the Coppa Italia Serie C (Round of 16) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Spezia are #336 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Livorno are #1,286 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 950 places - in Spezia's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Spezia the favourites at 67%, with a draw at 19% and Livorno at 13%.
Rating: 1147
Chance to win: 67%
Last 5: WDWWW
Rating: 914
Chance to win: 13%
Last 5: LLDDL
Who will win Spezia vs Livorno?
Spezia are #336 and Livorno #1286 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Spezia (67%). More from the Serie C.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Spezia v Livorno | 2-1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Spezia v Livorno | 2-0 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.