Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction & odds
Sporting CP host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (round 11) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Sporting CP are #22 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Moreirense are #268 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 246 places - in Sporting CP's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Sporting CP the favourites at 80%, with a draw at 13% and Moreirense at 7%.
Rating: 1563
Chance to win: 80%
Last 5: WWLLW
Rating: 1188
Chance to win: 7%
Last 5: WLLDW
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP are #22 and Moreirense #268 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sporting CP (80%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Moreirense v Sporting CP | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Sporting CP v Moreirense | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Sporting CP v Moreirense | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-05 | Moreirense v Sporting CP | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Moreirense v Sporting CP | 0-2 |
Sporting CP have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 18 | #186 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 17 | #154 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 17 | #281 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 14 | #190 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 11 | #250 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 11 | #95 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11 | #268 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 10 | #148 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 10 | #429 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |