Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: result and our prediction
Sporting Cristal host Alianza Lima in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Sporting Cristal are #760 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Alianza Lima are #658 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 102 places - in Alianza Lima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Sporting Cristal v Alianza Lima as close to a coin flip: Sporting Cristal 36%, a draw 30%, Alianza Lima 34%.
Rating: 1020
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: WLWWW
Rating: 1046
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
Sporting Cristal are #760 and Alianza Lima #658 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sporting Cristal (36%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Sporting Cristal v Alianza Lima | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Alianza Lima v Sporting Cristal | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Alianza Lima v Sporting Cristal | 3-3 |
| 2025-12-03 | Sporting Cristal v Alianza Lima | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Alianza Lima v Sporting Cristal | 0-0 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #658 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #652 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53 | #773 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 51 | #933 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 51 | #963 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 50 | #964 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 47 | #760 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 46 | #999 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 46 | #1680 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.