SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction & odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga (round 10) on Sunday 01 November 2026. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are #529 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Holstein Kiel are #305 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 224 places - in Holstein Kiel's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel as close to a coin flip: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33%, a draw 29%, Holstein Kiel 38%.
Rating: 1081
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: LWLDD
Rating: 1164
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: DWDLD
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are #529 and Holstein Kiel #305 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Holstein Kiel (38%). More from the 2. Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-28 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-05 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Holstein Kiel v SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2-1 |
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 10 | #464 |
| 12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 10 | #548 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 9 | #529 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 8 | #305 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 8 | #341 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | 8 | #308 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 |  VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |