Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction & odds
Sturm Graz host Celje in the UEFA Europa League (round 4) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Sturm Graz are #145 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Celje are #450 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 305 places - in Sturm Graz's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Sturm Graz the favourites at 67%, with a draw at 19% and Celje at 14%.
Rating: 1291
Chance to win: 67%
Last 5: LDWWL
Rating: 1103
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: DWDDL
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?
Sturm Graz are #145 and Celje #450 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sturm Graz (67%). More from the Bundesliga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |