Our model sees Sturm Graz v Marseille as close to a coin flip: Sturm Graz 37%, a draw 24%, Marseille 39%.
Sturm Graz are #130 and Marseille #63 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Marseille (39%). More from the Bundesliga.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.