Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction & odds
Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga (round 12) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Sturm Graz are #145 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Red Bull Salzburg are #101 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg as close to a coin flip: Sturm Graz 36%, a draw 30%, Red Bull Salzburg 35%.
Rating: 1291
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: LDWWL
Rating: 1344
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: WWDWL
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz are #145 and Red Bull Salzburg #101 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sturm Graz (36%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz | 0-2 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 10 | 27 | #140 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 10 | 24 | #101 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 10 | 19 | #109 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 10 | 18 | #145 |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 11 | 17 | #274 |
| 6 | Ried | 10 | 15 | #321 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 |  TSV Hartberg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 |  Ried | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Grazer AK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -19 | 10 |
| 9 |  SCR Altach | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 |  Austria Lustenau | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 11 |  Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |