Super Nova vs Rīgas FS: result and our prediction
Super Nova host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga (round 34) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Super Nova are #2,774 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Rīgas FS are #450 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 2,324 places - in Rīgas FS's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Rīgas FS the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and Super Nova at 11%.
Rating: 714
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: LLLWL
Rating: 1104
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: WWWWD
Who will win Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Super Nova are #2774 and Rīgas FS #450 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Rīgas FS (71%). More from the Virsliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Super Nova v Rīgas FS | 0-3 |
| 2026-10-15 | Rīgas FS v Super Nova | 4-0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Super Nova v Rīgas FS | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Super Nova v Rīgas FS | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Rīgas FS v Super Nova | 2-0 |
Rīgas FS have won the last 5 meetings.
Virsliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 34 | 86 | #450 |
| 2 | Riga | 34 | 82 | #272 |
| 3 | Auda | 34 | 67 | #1005 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 48 | #1834 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 47 | #1892 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 34 | 38 | #2774 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 34 | 32 | #2919 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 34 | 29 | #3112 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 |  Riga | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 62 | 82 |
| 3 |  Auda | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 38 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -34 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -51 | 18 |