SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: result and our prediction
SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (round 8) on Friday 30 October 2026. SV Elversberg are #147 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; FSV Mainz 05 are #100 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 as close to a coin flip: SV Elversberg 31%, a draw 29%, FSV Mainz 05 41%.
Rating: 1288
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: WLLWL
Rating: 1345
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: LLLWL
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
SV Elversberg are #147 and FSV Mainz 05 #100 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FSV Mainz 05 (41%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-08 | SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 13 | #42 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 13 | #21 |
| 5 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 13 | #147 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 12 | #35 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 12 | #88 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 10 | #100 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 9 | #69 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 9 | #58 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |