Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC prediction & odds
Tenerife host AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División (round 14) on Sunday 15 November 2026. Tenerife are #321 in our world ranking and have drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; AD Ceuta FC are #559 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 238 places - in Tenerife's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Tenerife the favourites at 51%, with a draw at 26% and AD Ceuta FC at 23%.
Rating: 1152
Chance to win: 51%
Last 5: DDDLD
Rating: 1073
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: WLLLD
Who will win Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC?
Tenerife are #321 and AD Ceuta FC #559 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Tenerife (51%). More from the Segunda División.
Segunda División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 11 | 26 | #118 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 26 | #136 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 23 | #164 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 12 | 16 | #410 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 14 | #321 |
| 13 | Eldense | 11 | 14 | #436 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 7 | #374 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 11 | 5 | #559 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 |  Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Burgos | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 5 |