Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction & odds
Tigres UANL host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Tigres UANL are #601 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Cruz Azul are #282 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 319 places - in Cruz Azul's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul as close to a coin flip: Tigres UANL 30%, a draw 28%, Cruz Azul 42%.
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: DLDWW
Rating: 1179
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: WWWDD
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL are #601 and Cruz Azul #282 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Cruz Azul (42%). More from the Liga MX.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL | 1-0 |
Liga MX table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 28 | #336 |
| 2 | Atlas | 15 | 27 | #688 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 26 | #282 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 26 | #324 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 16 | #1369 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15 | #601 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14 | #1181 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 |  Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 8 |
First half of the season.