Our model makes FC Tokyo the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and Tokyo Verdy at 18%.
Tokyo Verdy are #1131 and FC Tokyo #226 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Tokyo (59%). More from the J1 League.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Tokyo v Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-15 | FC Tokyo v Tokyo Verdy | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo | 2-2 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 21 | #265 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 20 | #175 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 20 | #186 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 20 | #226 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 19 | #213 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 5 | #1557 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 4 | #1131 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.