Our model makes Toluca the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and Club Tijuana at 18%.
Toluca are #277 and Club Tijuana #676 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Toluca (59%). More from the Liga MX.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Toluca v Club Tijuana | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Club Tijuana v Toluca | 0-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 10 | 21 | #350 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 20 | #277 |
| 3 | Club Queretaro | 10 | 20 | #513 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 19 | #332 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 18 | #594 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 18 | #781 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 17 | #315 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 15 | #676 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 15 | #1171 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 14 | #705 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.