Tondela vs Farense prediction & odds
Tondela host Farense in the Segunda Liga (round 11) on Sunday 15 November 2026. Tondela are #373 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Farense are #597 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 224 places - in Tondela's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Tondela the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Farense at 24%.
Rating: 1131
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 1064
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Tondela vs Farense?
Tondela are #373 and Farense #597 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Tondela (50%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-27 | Farense v Tondela | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Farense v Tondela | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Tondela v Farense | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-15 | Farense v Tondela | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-30 | Tondela v Farense | 2-0 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #605 |
| 5 | Academica | 9 | 15 | #654 |
| 6 | Farense | 8 | 14 | #597 |
| 7 | União de Leiria | 9 | 14 | #574 |
| 8 | Vizela | 9 | 14 | #723 |
| 9 | AVS | 9 | 12 | #392 |
| 10 | Tondela | 8 | 12 | #373 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 9 | 11 | #949 |
| 12 | Torreense | 9 | 10 | #459 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP B | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Benfica B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 |  Academica | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  União de Leiria | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  AVS | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Leixoes | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Amarante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Chaves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Porto B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |