Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction & odds
Tondela host Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga (round 9) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Tondela are #376 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Felgueiras 1932 are #752 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 376 places - in Tondela's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Tondela the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Felgueiras 1932 at 21%.
Rating: 1131
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 1020
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: DWLWL
Who will win Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?
Tondela are #376 and Felgueiras 1932 #752 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Tondela (55%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | Felgueiras 1932 v Tondela | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Tondela v Felgueiras 1932 | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-22 | Felgueiras 1932 v Tondela | 0-1 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 18 | #553 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 18 | #715 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #599 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 12 | #358 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 12 | #376 |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 11 | #780 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 8 | #878 |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 7 | #752 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 5 | #968 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |