Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction & odds
Toulouse host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (round 10) on Friday 06 November 2026. Toulouse are #89 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Strasbourg are #82 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Toulouse v Strasbourg as close to a coin flip: Toulouse 40%, a draw 29%, Strasbourg 31%.
Rating: 1358
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: DWDWD
Rating: 1370
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: LLLLD
Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Toulouse are #89 and Strasbourg #82 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Toulouse (40%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Strasbourg v Toulouse | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Toulouse v Strasbourg | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Strasbourg v Toulouse | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-12 | Toulouse v Strasbourg | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Toulouse v Strasbourg | 0-0 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 12 | #76 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 12 | #87 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 10 | #89 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 10 | #125 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 9 | #130 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 8 | #206 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 7 | #260 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 7 | #82 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5 | #264 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | #228 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |