Twente vs Pafos prediction & odds
Twente host Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (round 3) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Twente are #75 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Pafos are #201 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 126 places - in Twente's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Twente the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 20% and Pafos at 16%.
Rating: 1384
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: WWLWD
Rating: 1230
Chance to win: 16%
Last 5: DDDLW
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
Twente are #75 and Pafos #201 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Twente (64%). More from the Eredivisie.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |