UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima: result and our prediction
UCV Moquegua host Alianza Lima in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) on Sunday 25 October 2026. UCV Moquegua are #2,278 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Alianza Lima are #658 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,620 places - in Alianza Lima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Alianza Lima the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 24% and UCV Moquegua at 19%.
Rating: 784
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: LLWLL
Rating: 1046
Chance to win: 57%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima?
UCV Moquegua are #2278 and Alianza Lima #658 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Alianza Lima (57%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | UCV Moquegua v Alianza Lima | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Alianza Lima v UCV Moquegua | 2-1 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #658 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #652 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53 | #773 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 28 | #2399 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 28 | #2278 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 18 | #2323 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.