UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa prediction & odds
UD Ourense host Cultural Leonesa in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 10) on Sunday 01 November 2026. UD Ourense are #2,083 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Cultural Leonesa are #818 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,265 places - in Cultural Leonesa's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 27% and UD Ourense at 25%.
Rating: 801
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: LLLWD
Rating: 1006
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: WLDWL
Who will win UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
UD Ourense are #2083 and Cultural Leonesa #818 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Cultural Leonesa (49%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 12 | #1083 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 12 | #695 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 12 | #818 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 11 | #1235 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 10 | #857 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 10 | #1027 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 9 | 9 | #1368 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 8 | #1227 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 9 | 5 | #2083 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 5 | #1511 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |