Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor prediction & odds
Ümraniyespor host Kayserispor in the 1. Lig (round 14) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Ümraniyespor are #1,489 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Kayserispor are #747 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 742 places - in Kayserispor's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Kayserispor the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Ümraniyespor at 28%.
Rating: 879
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: WWWDW
Rating: 1021
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LDDWW
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?
Ümraniyespor are #1489 and Kayserispor #747 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Kayserispor (45%). More from the 1. Lig.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-10 | Kayserispor v Ümraniyespor | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | Ümraniyespor v Kayserispor | 2-2 |
1. Lig table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 28 | #929 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 27 | #747 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 26 | #1180 |
| 13 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 14 | #1618 |
| 14 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 13 | #1489 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 12 | 13 | #1607 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Kayserispor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 |  Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mardin 1969 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Keçiörengücü | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 7 |  Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Bodrum FK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Esenler Erokspor | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 |  Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 14 |  Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 |  Pendikspor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 |  Manisa F.K. | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 |  Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -22 | 5 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |