Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction & odds

Union Berlin host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga (round 8) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Union Berlin are #133 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; 1. FC Köln are #127 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.

Our prediction

Our model sees Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln as close to a coin flip: Union Berlin 41%, a draw 29%, 1. FC Köln 30%.

Union Berlin 41% Draw 29%1. FC Köln 30%
World rank: #133
Rating: 1305
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: LDDWL
World rank: #127
Rating: 1309
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: WDLWL

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Union Berlin are #133 and 1. FC Köln #127 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Union Berlin (41%). More from the Bundesliga.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2026-10-271. FC Köln v Union Berlin5-0
2026-05-02Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln2-2
2025-12-201. FC Köln v Union Berlin0-1
2024-05-111. FC Köln v Union Berlin3-2
2023-12-20Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln2-0

Bundesliga table

#ClubPPtsWorld
101899 Hoffenheim79#58
11Hamburger SV79#123
121. FC Köln78#127
13SC Paderborn 0778#146
14Eintracht Frankfurt78#70
15VfB Stuttgart76#34
16FC Schalke 0476#185
17Union Berlin76#133
18Borussia Mönchengladbach73#118

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.