Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction & odds
Union Santa Fe host Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Union Santa Fe are #566 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Velez Sarsfield are #262 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 304 places - in Velez Sarsfield's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield as close to a coin flip: Union Santa Fe 30%, a draw 28%, Velez Sarsfield 42%.
Rating: 1072
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: WDLLL
Rating: 1190
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: WWLDW
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
Union Santa Fe are #566 and Velez Sarsfield #262 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Velez Sarsfield (42%). More from the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Velez Sarsfield v Union Santa Fe | 2-2 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 34 | #266 |
| 2 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 32 | #270 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 31 | #381 |
| 7 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 29 | #198 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 28 | #262 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 28 | #280 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 22 | #555 |
| 18 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 21 | #566 |
| 19 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 21 | #542 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 |  Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 9 |
Second half of the season.