Universidad Catolica vs Aucas prediction & odds
Universidad Catolica host Aucas in the Liga Pro (Championship Group - 5) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Universidad Catolica are #332 in our world ranking and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Aucas are #606 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 274 places - in Universidad Catolica's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Universidad Catolica the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 25% and Aucas at 22%.
Rating: 1148
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: DDDLL
Rating: 1060
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: LDLLD
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Universidad Catolica are #332 and Aucas #606 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Universidad Catolica (52%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Universidad Catolica v Aucas | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Aucas v Universidad Catolica | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Universidad Catolica v Aucas | 6-2 |
| 2025-04-16 | Aucas v Universidad Catolica | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Universidad Catolica v Aucas | 0-0 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 78 | #131 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 63 | #224 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53 | #332 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #290 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #606 |
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 48 | #438 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |