Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction & odds
Universitario host UCV Moquegua in the Primera División (Clausura - 16) on Monday 09 November 2026. Universitario are #647 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; UCV Moquegua are #2,217 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,570 places - in Universitario's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Universitario the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and UCV Moquegua at 11%.
Rating: 1049
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: WWDLW
Rating: 784
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: LLWLL
Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Universitario are #647 and UCV Moquegua #2217 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Universitario (71%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | UCV Moquegua v Universitario | 0-0 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #654 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #647 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54 | #796 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 28 | #2332 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 28 | #2217 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 18 | #2260 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 |  Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.