Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction & odds
Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (round 12) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Utrecht are #165 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; NEC Nijmegen are #158 and have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen as close to a coin flip: Utrecht 41%, a draw 29%, NEC Nijmegen 30%.
Rating: 1263
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: WDWWL
Rating: 1270
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: DWDDD
Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht are #165 and NEC Nijmegen #158 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Utrecht (41%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | NEC Nijmegen v Utrecht | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | NEC Nijmegen v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen | 1-0 |
Utrecht have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 14 | #273 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 12 | #430 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 12 | #165 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 11 | #158 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 11 | #342 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 9 | #372 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |